Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on October 19?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $20K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.3K by 139 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 74% 83 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 70% 55 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 19, 2026.
The smart money
74% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
139 wallets hold a position worth $7.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 138 of them.
- Holders
- 84
- Money on it
- $85
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Holders
- 55
- Money on it
- $7.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 91%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on October 19?"?
139 wallets hold a position worth $7.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 138 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on October 19?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 19, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
74% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 19, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.