Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 63% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 46 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $26K traded all time
- Held now
- $14K by 265 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 63% 199 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 17% 65 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $26K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 12, 2026.
The smart money
63% of the money on Yes and 17% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 46 points. A week ago, Yes by 46 points.
Who holds it
265 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 264 of them.
- Holders
- 200
- Money on it
- $14K
- Holders' win rate
- 90%
- Holders
- 65
- Money on it
- $6
- Holders' win rate
- 78%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Los Angeles on October 12?
2 more- 66-67°F$16K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 70-71°F$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
Other big weather markets
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- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$801K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?"?
265 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 264 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $26K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 12, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
63% of the money on Yes and 17% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 46 points. A week ago, Yes by 46 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 12, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.