Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 22?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 66% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 6 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.6K by 169 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 66% 107 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 60% 62 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 22, 2026.
The smart money
66% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points.
Who holds it
169 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 169 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xeb1b…87c0, with $9 on it, $47K lifetime profit over 1,852 markets (78% won). The largest No holder is 0x2CA, with $725 on it, $994 lifetime loss over 3,129 markets (98% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $19 on No.
- Holders
- 107
- Money on it
- $82
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
- Holders
- 62
- Money on it
- $3.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 88%
- Snipers
- 1 · $19
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$82 on it
- 10xeb1b…87c078% won of 1,852 · whale$9+$47K lifetime
- 2weatherman13100% won of 53$5−$1.7K lifetime
- 3Adrianeex72% won of 81$4−$7.0K lifetime
- 4StayFreshCheeseBags73% won of 5,062 · whale$4+$4.1K lifetime
- 5munrrah-mx398% won of 217$3−$312 lifetime
No$3.6K on it
- 10x2CA98% won of 3,129$725−$994 lifetime
- 2HellorHeaven79% won of 364 · balanced$445+$7.0K lifetime
- 3gluckbaumstumpf89% won of 273 · grinder$396+$411 lifetime
- 4Youxidashi73% won of 321$324−$4.2K lifetime
- 5cleaningLady100% won of 2,719$220−$393 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$801K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 22?"?
169 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 169 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xeb1b…87c0, with $9 on it, $47K lifetime profit over 1,852 markets (78% won). The largest No holder is 0x2CA, with $725 on it, $994 lifetime loss over 3,129 markets (98% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 22?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 22, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
66% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 22, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.