Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 20?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $23K traded all time
- Held now
- $226 by 38 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 99% 30 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 8 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 22, 2026 and resolved No. $23K has been traded on it.
The smart money
99% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 9 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.
Who holds it
38 wallets hold a position worth $226 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 38 of them.
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $8
- Holders' win rate
- 35%
- Holders
- 8
- Money on it
- $218
- Holders' win rate
- 99%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 20?
2 more- 13°C or below$132K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- 21°C$35K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
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- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$802K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 20?"?
38 wallets hold a position worth $226 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 38 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 20?"?
This market closed on October 22, 2026 and resolved No. $23K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
99% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 9 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 22, 2026 and resolved No. $23K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.