Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 28?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 76% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 19 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $10K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.3K by 181 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 76% 111 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 57% 70 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
The smart money
76% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points.
Who holds it
181 wallets hold a position worth $2.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 181 of them. The largest Yes holder is Bilberry, with $0 on it, $51K lifetime profit over 6,981 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is Sylar012, with $651 on it, $5.1K lifetime profit over 2,826 markets (99% won).
- Holders
- 111
- Money on it
- $2
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Holders
- 70
- Money on it
- $2.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 77%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2 on it
- 1Bilberry65% won of 6,981 · whale$0+$51K lifetime
- 224153253243258% won of 6,529 · balanced$0+$15K lifetime
- 3fildoro98% won of 1,020 · whale$0+$18K lifetime
- 4Qatalyst41% won of 1,566 · noise$0+$1.7K lifetime
- 50x65f7…8b9877% won of 1,934 · whale$0+$37K lifetime
No$2.3K on it
- 1Sylar01299% won of 2,826 · whale$651+$5.1K lifetime
- 20x3970ce79% won of 2,978 · whale$200+$4.6K lifetime
- 30xAE6d1b5181d17157c6111fC574a3ff6b1A45DED2-177055531742699% won of 930$117−$31K lifetime
- 4donthackme29% won of 86,904 · noise$105+$829K lifetime
- 5quadratic1100% won of 832$100−$7 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Houston on October 28?
1 moreOther big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$801K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 28?"?
181 wallets hold a position worth $2.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 181 of them. The largest Yes holder is Bilberry, with $0 on it, $51K lifetime profit over 6,981 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is Sylar012, with $651 on it, $5.1K lifetime profit over 2,826 markets (99% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 28?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
76% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.