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Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 23?”?

Weather$24K traded145 holdersEnds October 23, 2026Updated October 25, 2026
100%Yes
0%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 70% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 57 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$24K
traded all time
Held now
$12K
by 145 wallets
Smart share · Yes
13%
75 scored holders
Smart share · No
70%
70 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 23, 2026.

The smart money

13% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 57 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 53 points.

Who holds it

145 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 145 of them. The largest Yes holder is aapang, with $3.0K on it, $4.5K lifetime loss over 1,112 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is E32LowRksnd98uh18bd1dd12d12t, with $3 on it, $1.8K lifetime profit over 275 markets (6% won).

Yes100%
Smart money share13% ▼ 3 pts in 24 h
a day ago 15%now 13%
Holders
75
Money on it
$11K
Holders' win rate
68%
No0%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share70% ▲ 1 pts in 24 h
a day ago 68%now 70%
Holders
70
Money on it
$8
Holders' win rate
35%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$11K on it

  1. 1aapang42% won of 1,112$3.0K−$4.5K lifetime
  2. 2ssstarboyyy66% won of 451$2.6K−$18K lifetime
  3. 30x3B1f23C8e86bBAee32E8Db6D773277B30a81C9c3-177828867296198% won of 305$1.3K−$178 lifetime
  4. 4on0997% won of 209$1.1K−$662 lifetime
  5. 5Mymycrousty67100% won of 263$394−$4.9K lifetime

No$8 on it

  1. 1E32LowRksnd98uh18bd1dd12d12t6% won of 275 · noise$3+$1.8K lifetime
  2. 2Tiou65% won of 84$1−$19 lifetime
  3. 3qqqppp-l138% won of 7,200 · noise$0+$10K lifetime
  4. 4sisan3370% won of 1,519$0−$11K lifetime
  5. 5Niseko65% won of 1,256$0−$45K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 23?"?

145 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 145 of them. The largest Yes holder is aapang, with $3.0K on it, $4.5K lifetime loss over 1,112 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is E32LowRksnd98uh18bd1dd12d12t, with $3 on it, $1.8K lifetime profit over 275 markets (6% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 23?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 23, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

13% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 57 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 53 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 23, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.