Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $26K traded all time
- Held now
- $15K by 159 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 47% 66 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 51% 93 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 22, 2026 and resolved Yes. $26K has been traded on it.
The smart money
47% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
159 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 159 of them.
- Holders
- 66
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
- Holders
- 93
- Money on it
- $3
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 21?
3 more- 31°C$25K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 33°C$14K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- 34°C$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
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- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?"?
159 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 159 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?"?
This market closed on October 22, 2026 and resolved Yes. $26K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
47% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 22, 2026 and resolved Yes. $26K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.