Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 17?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.5K by 155 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 65% 108 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 68% 47 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 20, 2026 and resolved No. $17K has been traded on it.
The smart money
65% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
155 wallets hold a position worth $4.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 155 of them.
- Holders
- 108
- Money on it
- $3
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 47
- Money on it
- $4.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 17?
3 more- 28°C$35K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- 29°C$17K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- 31°C$10K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Other big weather markets
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- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$801K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 17?"?
155 wallets hold a position worth $4.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 155 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 17?"?
This market closed on October 20, 2026 and resolved No. $17K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
65% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 20, 2026 and resolved No. $17K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.