Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 26 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $83K traded all time
- Held now
- $26K by 206 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 86% 91 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 60% 115 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 25, 2026 and resolved Yes. $83K has been traded on it.
The smart money
86% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 33 points. A week ago, Yes by 36 points.
Who holds it
206 wallets hold a position worth $26K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 206 of them.
- Holders
- 91
- Money on it
- $26K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Holders
- 115
- Money on it
- $8
- Holders' win rate
- 81%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in Cape Town on October 18?
6 more- 19°C or higher$116K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 17°C$65K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- 18°C$48K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- 15°C$39K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 14°C$27K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- 9°C or below$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
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- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?"?
206 wallets hold a position worth $26K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 206 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?"?
This market closed on October 25, 2026 and resolved Yes. $83K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 33 points. A week ago, Yes by 36 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 25, 2026 and resolved Yes. $83K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.