Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 31?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.8K by 114 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 57 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 57 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
114 wallets hold a position worth $3.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 114 of them. The largest Yes holder is maker2026, with $1 on it, $177 lifetime loss over 1,340 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is BeginnersLuck2, with $666 on it, $31K lifetime profit over 1,673 markets (98% won).
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $3
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $3.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 93%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3 on it
- 1maker202670% won of 1,340$1−$177 lifetime
- 20xb3eb…2a0950% won of 482$1−$471 lifetime
- 3hfv40% won of 51,559$0−$146K lifetime
- 4AppleCider2299% won of 768 · grinder$0+$500 lifetime
- 5Calimer062% won of 537$0−$5.7K lifetime
No$3.8K on it
- 1BeginnersLuck298% won of 1,673 · whale$666+$31K lifetime
- 21DVSBSTD99% won of 12,076 · whale$645+$2.7K lifetime
- 30xC8d695d901814E811D0f2a0aEba774FF67D93999-176178359555996% won of 1,530$600−$2.6K lifetime
- 4coldfront71% won of 17$250−$5 lifetime
- 5win2026072699% won of 1,665 · whale$250+$1.4K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 8%No 92%Too little scored money to compare
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$808K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Too little scored money to compare
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$361K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Too little scored money to compare
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Too little scored money to compare
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$342K vol.Yes 99%No 1%Too little scored money to compare
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 31?"?
114 wallets hold a position worth $3.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 114 of them. The largest Yes holder is maker2026, with $1 on it, $177 lifetime loss over 1,340 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is BeginnersLuck2, with $666 on it, $31K lifetime profit over 1,673 markets (98% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.