Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 29?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $10K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.1K by 163 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 106 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 56 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
163 wallets hold a position worth $4.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 162 of them. The largest Yes holder is sleeper-service, with $0 on it, $1.5K lifetime loss over 2,255 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is 0x6D5424c79aB3a2BF2c7eC08b7C0Bd9A02ACFa7Fe-1777639752721, with $1.5K on it, $133 lifetime profit over 151 markets (86% won).
- Holders
- 106
- Money on it
- $3
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $4.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 78%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3 on it
- 1sleeper-service75% won of 2,255$0−$1.5K lifetime
- 2hfv41% won of 46,030$0−$144K lifetime
- 3OnlyLuckNoBrain82% won of 2,544 · whale$0+$34K lifetime
- 4Mymycrousty67100% won of 271$0−$4.6K lifetime
- 5miphilmm2467% won of 205 · balanced$0+$4.5K lifetime
No$4.0K on it
- 10x6D5424c79aB3a2BF2c7eC08b7C0Bd9A02ACFa7Fe-177763975272186% won of 151 · balanced$1.5K+$133 lifetime
- 2hello.6770% won of 4,976 · whale$767+$60K lifetime
- 3UnknownCamer23789% won of 453 · grinder$685+$1.3K lifetime
- 4MoneyForSky0689% won of 2,764 · balanced$202+$3.5K lifetime
- 524153253243258% won of 6,708 · balanced$117+$15K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 29?"?
163 wallets hold a position worth $4.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 162 of them. The largest Yes holder is sleeper-service, with $0 on it, $1.5K lifetime loss over 2,255 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is 0x6D5424c79aB3a2BF2c7eC08b7C0Bd9A02ACFa7Fe-1777639752721, with $1.5K on it, $133 lifetime profit over 151 markets (86% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 29?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.