Who's betting on “Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? ”?
Smart money leans No: 66% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 40 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $143K traded all time
- Held now
- $16K by 150 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 26% 108 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 66% 42 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $143K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
26% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 38 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.
Who holds it
150 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 150 of them. The largest Yes holder is diablebleu, with $142 on it, $2.0K lifetime loss over 82 markets (26% won). The largest No holder is whitetofu, with $4.3K on it, $1.7K lifetime loss over 43 markets (77% won).
- Holders
- 108
- Money on it
- $467
- Holders' win rate
- 43%
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $16K
- Holders' win rate
- 76%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$467 on it
- 1diablebleu26% won of 82$142−$2.0K lifetime
- 2Perypery30% won of 473 · noise$39+$44K lifetime
- 3Till198640% won of 164 · noise$32+$7.1K lifetime
- 4neutralwave2371% won of 30,867$28−$3.0M lifetime
- 5fortniteplayer97% won of 1,114$19−$21K lifetime
No$16K on it
- 1whitetofu77% won of 43$4.3K−$1.7K lifetime
- 20xaF409E50577BD9cba48378656548A2D28D1a5662-177237781027386% won of 169 · balanced$2.7K+$991 lifetime
- 3Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$2.2K+$801K lifetime
- 4tomatosauce291% won of 204 · whale$2.1K+$38K lifetime
- 50x687d8cF19d873aED1957E61a3f2092D4721Ce28B-176395727529254% won of 304 · balanced$1.2K+$6.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$801K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? "?
150 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 150 of them. The largest Yes holder is diablebleu, with $142 on it, $2.0K lifetime loss over 82 markets (26% won). The largest No holder is whitetofu, with $4.3K on it, $1.7K lifetime loss over 43 markets (77% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? "?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $143K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
26% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 38 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.