Who's betting on “French election called by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 73% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 31 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $18K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.5K by 73 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 73% 41 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 43% 32 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
73% of the money on Yes and 43% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 31 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.
Who holds it
73 wallets hold a position worth $6.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 73 of them. The largest Yes holder is maddersky, with $109 on it, $113 lifetime profit over 3 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is DFK, with $2.4K on it, $42K lifetime profit over 771 markets (81% won).
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $431
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $6.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$431 on it
No$6.0K on it
- 1DFK81% won of 771 · whale$2.4K+$42K lifetime
- 2DonaldinhoTrumpito37% won of 1,022$1.1K−$328K lifetime
- 30xeDa7055CD903413Bb632F3b838F98D7fEDE3e3d5-177333452897074% won of 19$989−$49 lifetime
- 4OLOTH98% won of 1,080$914−$21K lifetime
- 5Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$187−$378K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "French election called by December 31, 2026?"?
73 wallets hold a position worth $6.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 73 of them. The largest Yes holder is maddersky, with $109 on it, $113 lifetime profit over 3 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is DFK, with $2.4K on it, $42K lifetime profit over 771 markets (81% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "French election called by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
73% of the money on Yes and 43% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 31 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.