Who's betting on “France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $20K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.6K by 45 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 23 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 29% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
45 wallets hold a position worth $5.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them. The largest Yes holder is 5911, with $346 on it, $16 lifetime loss over 2 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is ledgersurpol, with $3.5K on it, $6.3K lifetime loss over 47 markets (60% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $108 on No.
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $442
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $5.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 1 · $108
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$442 on it
- 15911100% won of 2$346−$16 lifetime
- 20x8b1E29201d6297D66BDCcF01712475d1557FcD5b-176831912840357% won of 14$19+$9 lifetime
- 3hopolopop93% won of 30 · balanced$16+$908 lifetime
- 40x87a7…6ae0no record yet$13
- 5Jesetrading77% won of 283 · balanced$9+$5.9K lifetime
No$5.2K on it
- 1ledgersurpol60% won of 47$3.5K−$6.3K lifetime
- 2aviato78% won of 1,430 · whale$506+$204K lifetime
- 3whaleP356% won of 137 · balanced$304+$65 lifetime
- 4SteppeKasandra87% won of 38$296+$280 lifetime
- 5AhHoi90% won of 210 · balanced$129+$5.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?"?
45 wallets hold a position worth $5.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them. The largest Yes holder is 5911, with $346 on it, $16 lifetime loss over 2 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is ledgersurpol, with $3.5K on it, $6.3K lifetime loss over 47 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.