Who's betting on “Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 27 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $221K traded all time
- Held now
- $45K by 258 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 83% 134 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 56% 124 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $221K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
83% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 28 points. A week ago, Yes by 23 points.
Who holds it
258 wallets hold a position worth $45K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 258 of them. The largest Yes holder is denizz, with $2.0K on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,007 markets (66% won). The largest No holder is efghvcdbjkpqwo, with $12K on it, $25K lifetime loss over 72 markets (86% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $27 on Yes.
- Holders
- 134
- Money on it
- $4.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 1 · $27
- Holders
- 124
- Money on it
- $40K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.9K on it
- 1denizz66% won of 1,007 · whale$2.0K+$2.3M lifetime
- 2melonmanm58% won of 986 · whale$339+$56K lifetime
- 3Warren-Buffett68% won of 1,051 · whale$330+$127K lifetime
- 4Car58% won of 1,784 · whale$283+$1.5M lifetime
- 5Outsid3rTrading66% won of 1,195 · whale$275+$55K lifetime
No$40K on it
- 1efghvcdbjkpqwo86% won of 72$12K−$25K lifetime
- 2M2sx92kljs4278% won of 518 · whale$6.6K+$62K lifetime
- 3katbot48% won of 200 · whale$5.2K+$1.2K lifetime
- 4mountmckinley100% won of 18$3.1K+$734 lifetime
- 5selters71% won of 154 · balanced$1.4K+$860 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?"?
258 wallets hold a position worth $45K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 258 of them. The largest Yes holder is denizz, with $2.0K on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,007 markets (66% won). The largest No holder is efghvcdbjkpqwo, with $12K on it, $25K lifetime loss over 72 markets (86% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $221K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 28 points. A week ago, Yes by 23 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.