Who's betting on “Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 76% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 25 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $27K traded all time
- Held now
- $14K by 126 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 50% 68 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 76% 53 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
50% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 45 points.
Who holds it
126 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 121 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gabrielborne, with $201 on it, $1.4K lifetime loss over 49 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is MisTKy, with $2.6K on it, $338K lifetime profit over 1,400 markets (62% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $11 on Yes.
- Holders
- 71
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Snipers
- 1 · $11
- Holders
- 55
- Money on it
- $13K
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.1K on it
- 1Gabrielborne55% won of 49$201−$1.4K lifetime
- 2zzzzzzzzz1142% won of 253 · noise$150+$558 lifetime
- 30x38B63F2a6393a72A9042915A4D45edf38e3935B9-176762538184050% won of 153$150−$811 lifetime
- 4borti123100% won of 1$49+$3.9K lifetime
- 5thekingoftexmex100% won of 1$48+$153 lifetime
No$13K on it
- 1MisTKy62% won of 1,400 · whale$2.6K+$338K lifetime
- 20xef97…ab2c97% won of 37 · grinder$1.1K+$1.4K lifetime
- 3chessplayer70% won of 1,380$1.0K−$17K lifetime
- 4mpstire-lutuwar80% won of 268 · balanced$957+$19K lifetime
- 51nvoker162% won of 1,034 · whale$832+$15K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?"?
126 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 121 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gabrielborne, with $201 on it, $1.4K lifetime loss over 49 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is MisTKy, with $2.6K on it, $338K lifetime profit over 1,400 markets (62% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
50% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 45 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.