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Who's betting on “EU dissolves before 2027?”?

Politics$188K traded177 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
2%Yes
98%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 72% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 27 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$188K
traded all time
Held now
$14K
by 177 wallets
Smart share · Yes
45%
62 scored holders
Smart share · No
72%
115 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $188K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

45% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 24 points. A week ago, No by 24 points.

Who holds it

177 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 177 of them. The largest Yes holder is artofinvesting, with $87 on it, $39 lifetime profit over 11 markets (82% won). The largest No holder is 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04, with $3.1K on it, $146K lifetime profit over 1,009 markets (92% won).

Yes2%
Smart money share45% ▼ 3 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 52%a day ago 48%now 45%
Holders
62
Money on it
$304
Holders' win rate
69%
No98%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share72%
7 days ago 76%a day ago 71%now 72%
Holders
115
Money on it
$14K
Holders' win rate
82%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$304 on it

  1. 1artofinvesting82% won of 11$87+$39 lifetime
  2. 20xcD67Ce4Be4eD9DC916981B28878Fe16200FF7fce-1777083000264no record yet$40+$0 lifetime
  3. 3MPIL82% won of 45$30−$21K lifetime
  4. 4Lan-Uno record yet$27−$514 lifetime
  5. 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$18+$27K lifetime

No$14K on it

  1. 195074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b0492% won of 1,009 · whale$3.1K+$146K lifetime
  2. 275767755% won of 1,005$1.5K−$426 lifetime
  3. 3freemath83% won of 35 · balanced$1.1K+$616 lifetime
  4. 4Alegrandebig92% won of 1,242$899−$12K lifetime
  5. 5PaddyAlpha69% won of 402 · whale$700+$56K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "EU dissolves before 2027?"?

177 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 177 of them. The largest Yes holder is artofinvesting, with $87 on it, $39 lifetime profit over 11 markets (82% won). The largest No holder is 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04, with $3.1K on it, $146K lifetime profit over 1,009 markets (92% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "EU dissolves before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $188K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

45% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 24 points. A week ago, No by 24 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.