Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $45K traded all time
- Held now
- $11K by 367 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 37% 190 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 175 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 22¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $45K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 2, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
367 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 365 of them. The largest Yes holder is Mei-ji, with $1.6K on it, $17K lifetime loss over 1,082 markets (25% won). The largest No holder is Gustav4-1, with $1.0K on it, $5.6K lifetime profit over 76 markets (71% won).
- Holders
- 191
- Money on it
- $7.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 35%
- Holders
- 176
- Money on it
- $3.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$7.5K on it
- 1Mei-ji25% won of 1,082$1.6K−$17K lifetime
- 2Kaiji12316% won of 751$712−$8.8K lifetime
- 3RickRockRick26% won of 367 · noise$645+$9.3K lifetime
- 4Sugarina7% won of 702 · noise$634+$9.9K lifetime
- 5williamlaitrade53% won of 198$622−$1.4K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026?
9 more- 190-214$120K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- 140-164$75K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Too little scored money to compare
- 215-239$70K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- 165-189$68K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- 240+$61K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- 90-114$51K vol.Yes 78%No 23%Too little scored money to compare
- 65-89$96K vol. · ClosedResolved NoToo little scored money to compare
- 40-64$62K vol. · ClosedResolved NoToo little scored money to compare
- <40$14K vol. · ClosedResolved NoToo little scored money to compare
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$46M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?"?
367 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 365 of them. The largest Yes holder is Mei-ji, with $1.6K on it, $17K lifetime loss over 1,082 markets (25% won). The largest No holder is Gustav4-1, with $1.0K on it, $5.6K lifetime profit over 76 markets (71% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 22¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $45K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 2, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 2, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.