Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $18K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.6K by 82 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 70 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 10 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 10¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 6, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
82 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 80 of them. The largest Yes holder is cdecercwd, with $303 on it, $1.1K lifetime loss over 169 markets (20% won). The largest No holder is hetacz, with $450 on it, $18K lifetime profit over 2,021 markets (28% won).
- Holders
- 72
- Money on it
- $2.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 32%
- Holders
- 10
- Money on it
- $734
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.9K on it
- 1cdecercwd20% won of 169$303−$1.1K lifetime
- 2TweetPulse.Live11% won of 749$242−$4.9K lifetime
- 3Bitgod41% won of 1,360 · noise$208+$58K lifetime
- 4Kaiji12316% won of 751$201−$8.8K lifetime
- 5hulitest202558% won of 1,913$152−$13K lifetime
No$734 on it
- 1hetacz28% won of 2,021 · noise$450+$18K lifetime
- 2jooker202688% won of 419 · grinder$135+$209 lifetime
- 3CaprioDiLeo45% won of 1,308 · whale$59+$8.9K lifetime
- 40x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-177788278671558% won of 679 · whale$34+$6.6K lifetime
- 51x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb940% won of 228,776 · noise$23+$7.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?"?
82 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 80 of them. The largest Yes holder is cdecercwd, with $303 on it, $1.1K lifetime loss over 169 markets (20% won). The largest No holder is hetacz, with $450 on it, $18K lifetime profit over 2,021 markets (28% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 10¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 6, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 6, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.