Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 98% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 27 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $72K traded all time
- Held now
- $8.1K by 98 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 71% 87 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 98% 11 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 20, 2026 and resolved No. $72K has been traded on it.
The smart money
71% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A week ago, No by 27 points.
Who holds it
98 wallets hold a position worth $8.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 98 of them.
- Holders
- 87
- Money on it
- $21
- Holders' win rate
- 38%
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $8.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 86%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Elon Musk # tweets October 19 - October 21, 2026?
6 more- 90-114$184K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- 65-89$183K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- 40-64$126K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 115-139$52K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 140-164$49K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 165-189$23K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?"?
98 wallets hold a position worth $8.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 98 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?"?
This market closed on October 20, 2026 and resolved No. $72K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A week ago, No by 27 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 20, 2026 and resolved No. $72K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.