Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 82% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 54 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $85K traded all time
- Held now
- $35K by 127 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 82% 83 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 28% 42 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 18, 2026 and resolved No. $85K has been traded on it.
The smart money
82% of the money on Yes and 28% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 54 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 65 points. A week ago, Yes by 54 points.
Who holds it
127 wallets hold a position worth $35K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 125 of them.
- Holders
- 85
- Money on it
- $31
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $35K
- Holders' win rate
- 81%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Elon Musk # tweets October 17 - October 19, 2026?
9 more- 90-114$140K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- 40-64$132K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- 65-89$91K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 140-164$72K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- 115-139$61K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- 165-189$30K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 190-214$23K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- 240+$13K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- 215-239$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?"?
127 wallets hold a position worth $35K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 125 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?"?
This market closed on October 18, 2026 and resolved No. $85K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
82% of the money on Yes and 28% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 54 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 65 points. A week ago, Yes by 54 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 18, 2026 and resolved No. $85K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.