Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 75% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.5K by 121 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 56% 46 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 75% 75 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 16, 2026 and resolved No. $16K has been traded on it.
The smart money
56% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 18 points.
Who holds it
121 wallets hold a position worth $5.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 121 of them.
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $10
- Holders' win rate
- 37%
- Holders
- 75
- Money on it
- $5.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Elon Musk # tweets October 15 - October 17, 2026?
9 more- 90-114$134K vol.Yes 93%No 7%Smart money: No
- 140-164$177K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- 165-189$140K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- 115-139$130K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 65-89$106K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 190-214$48K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 40-64$40K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- 240+$30K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 215-239$28K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
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- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?"?
121 wallets hold a position worth $5.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 121 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?"?
This market closed on October 16, 2026 and resolved No. $16K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
56% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 18 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 16, 2026 and resolved No. $16K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.