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Who's betting on “Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?”?

Politics$11K traded60 holdersEnds October 9, 2026Updated October 9, 2026
28%Yes
73%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 70% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 25 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$11K
traded all time
Held now
$886
by 60 wallets
Smart share · Yes
45%
39 scored holders
Smart share · No
70%
20 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 73¢, a 73% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 9, 2026.

The smart money

45% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A week ago, No by 25 points.

Who holds it

60 wallets hold a position worth $886 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xC2661D16350ED82d5C2292294BAa01851fB68187-1777122597209, with $120 on it, $2.7K lifetime profit over 285 markets (77% won). The largest No holder is acc42020, with $128 on it, $12K lifetime profit over 865 markets (49% won).

Yes28%
Smart money share45%
a day ago 45%now 45%
Holders
40
Money on it
$438
Holders' win rate
55%
No73%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share70%
a day ago 70%now 70%
Holders
20
Money on it
$448
Holders' win rate
53%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$438 on it

  1. 10xC2661D16350ED82d5C2292294BAa01851fB68187-177712259720977% won of 285 · balanced$120+$2.7K lifetime
  2. 2WanderingPanda56% won of 960$50−$19K lifetime
  3. 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,324 · noise$35+$254K lifetime
  4. 4televisionloud42% won of 15,385$29−$18K lifetime
  5. 5Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$25−$378K lifetime

No$448 on it

  1. 1acc4202049% won of 865 · whale$128+$12K lifetime
  2. 2Maximus37447% won of 2,711 · whale$72+$11K lifetime
  3. 3Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,972 · whale$60+$163K lifetime
  4. 4cigarettes46% won of 49,317$52−$53K lifetime
  5. 5pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,725$31−$320K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?"?

60 wallets hold a position worth $886 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xC2661D16350ED82d5C2292294BAa01851fB68187-1777122597209, with $120 on it, $2.7K lifetime profit over 285 markets (77% won). The largest No holder is acc42020, with $128 on it, $12K lifetime profit over 865 markets (49% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 73¢, a 73% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 9, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

45% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A week ago, No by 25 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 9, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.