Who's betting on “Will South Africa win?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 46% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 8 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $8.3K by 79 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 46% 51 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 38% 28 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
46% of the money on Yes and 38% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points.
Who holds it
79 wallets hold a position worth $8.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 79 of them. The largest Yes holder is cigarettes, with $456 on it, $48K lifetime loss over 49,151 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is tankvs86, with $1.1K on it, $8.7K lifetime loss over 227 markets (51% won).
- Holders
- 51
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $6.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.4K on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,151$456−$48K lifetime
- 20x7E171d041041a8cDd11aB0Ed82e7E0009eD31D04-171844015433256% won of 9$233+$1.0K lifetime
- 30x6868Ca66c74A6a1a7eaF7976Bda53895260a24F0-175778968374349% won of 463$63−$6.8K lifetime
- 4Gl4d60% won of 1,091 · whale$58+$37K lifetime
- 5Notradecopy88% won of 1,067 · whale$52+$17K lifetime
No$6.9K on it
- 1tankvs8651% won of 227$1.1K−$8.7K lifetime
- 2SlickRick12347% won of 11,633 · whale$1.0K+$21K lifetime
- 3RDLedger75% won of 358$759−$5.0K lifetime
- 4letscookin202757% won of 7$548−$4.9K lifetime
- 5OGPunter64% won of 55$547−$4.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will South Africa win?"?
79 wallets hold a position worth $8.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 79 of them. The largest Yes holder is cigarettes, with $456 on it, $48K lifetime loss over 49,151 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is tankvs86, with $1.1K on it, $8.7K lifetime loss over 227 markets (51% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will South Africa win?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
46% of the money on Yes and 38% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.