Who's betting on “Will the match end in a draw?”?
Smart money leans No: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 15 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $22K traded all time
- Held now
- $16K by 64 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 71% 33 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 86% 31 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
71% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 41 points.
Who holds it
64 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 64 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x7E122985AD4a4e2046a11892d37AFe6A9524D0eC-1780423990934, with $910 on it, $1.9K lifetime profit over 204 markets (44% won). The largest No holder is takeormake, with $3.0K on it, $1.0M lifetime profit over 5,690 markets (65% won).
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $3.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $13K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.0K on it
- 10x7E122985AD4a4e2046a11892d37AFe6A9524D0eC-178042399093444% won of 204 · noise$910+$1.9K lifetime
- 2tradecraft52% won of 5,227 · whale$640+$944K lifetime
- 3chaeri38% won of 13,983$542−$62K lifetime
- 40x506766b4622D808c2f88FF9947f81B0c0bC1A127-176586498705351% won of 222$134−$2.7K lifetime
- 53879187398418945% won of 88,102 · whale$116+$207K lifetime
No$13K on it
- 1takeormake65% won of 5,690 · whale$3.0K+$1.0M lifetime
- 2NoIdea66691% won of 215 · grinder$2.4K+$4.7K lifetime
- 3probability31% won of 3,325 · noise$2.0K+$118K lifetime
- 4Mantzuraj56% won of 743$1.3K−$3.6K lifetime
- 5jacquesmh70% won of 152 · balanced$1.0K+$345 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Test Match: South Africa vs Australia
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the match end in a draw?"?
64 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 64 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x7E122985AD4a4e2046a11892d37AFe6A9524D0eC-1780423990934, with $910 on it, $1.9K lifetime profit over 204 markets (44% won). The largest No holder is takeormake, with $3.0K on it, $1.0M lifetime profit over 5,690 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the match end in a draw?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 41 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.