
Who's betting on “Will Australia win?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 77% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 22 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.9K by 57 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 77% 36 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 54% 21 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 73¢ and No at 27¢, a 73% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
77% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points.
Who holds it
57 wallets hold a position worth $5.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is takeormake, with $1.8K on it, $1.0M lifetime profit over 5,643 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is 0x43fE17Cf68EB58BE1d40514Be0e52674B71d26eE-1768993726139, with $374 on it, $6.8K lifetime profit over 614 markets (46% won).
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $4.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $1.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.9K on it
- 1takeormake65% won of 5,643 · whale$1.8K+$1.0M lifetime
- 2tradecraft52% won of 5,226 · whale$535+$944K lifetime
- 3probability31% won of 3,325 · noise$373+$118K lifetime
- 40x6868Ca66c74A6a1a7eaF7976Bda53895260a24F0-175778968374349% won of 463$363−$6.8K lifetime
- 5dips.47% won of 26,490 · whale$291+$11K lifetime
No$1.0K on it
- 10x43fE17Cf68EB58BE1d40514Be0e52674B71d26eE-176899372613946% won of 614 · balanced$374+$6.8K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,151$215−$48K lifetime
- 3sweethomealabama78% won of 81$108−$382 lifetime
- 4mishipolis52% won of 6,537 · whale$106+$168K lifetime
- 5topdogbigboi57% won of 39,817$77−$2.9K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Test Match: South Africa vs Australia
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Australia win?"?
57 wallets hold a position worth $5.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is takeormake, with $1.8K on it, $1.0M lifetime profit over 5,643 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is 0x43fE17Cf68EB58BE1d40514Be0e52674B71d26eE-1768993726139, with $374 on it, $6.8K lifetime profit over 614 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Australia win?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 73¢ and No at 27¢, a 73% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
77% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.