Who's betting on “Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 55% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 33 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $41K traded all time
- Held now
- $11K by 127 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 21% 56 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 55% 71 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $41K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
21% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 30 points. A week ago, No by 39 points.
Who holds it
127 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 127 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x0742…1b48, with $140 on it, $11K lifetime loss over 19 markets (37% won). The largest No holder is archaic, with $3.1K on it, $197K lifetime profit over 1,473 markets (86% won).
- Holders
- 56
- Money on it
- $367
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
- Holders
- 71
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$367 on it
- 10x0742…1b4837% won of 19$140−$11K lifetime
- 2luis502503no record yet$31+$0 lifetime
- 3noviceprotraderno record yet$25+$0 lifetime
- 4multitraderX79% won of 104 · balanced$19+$121 lifetime
- 5Dear-Polyp8% won of 213$18−$4.1K lifetime
No$11K on it
- 1archaic86% won of 1,473 · whale$3.1K+$197K lifetime
- 2SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,620$1.2K−$9.0K lifetime
- 30x6c10…df5c66% won of 1,065$1.1K−$70K lifetime
- 4Musk571% won of 666$958−$7.6K lifetime
- 5Zaratustra58% won of 765 · whale$586+$66K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?"?
127 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 127 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x0742…1b48, with $140 on it, $11K lifetime loss over 19 markets (37% won). The largest No holder is archaic, with $3.1K on it, $197K lifetime profit over 1,473 markets (86% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $41K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
21% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 30 points. A week ago, No by 39 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.