Who's betting on “Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 66% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 33 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $36K traded all time
- Held now
- $9.5K by 136 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 66% 84 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 32% 52 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 72¢, a 72% implied chance of No. $36K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
66% of the money on Yes and 32% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 39 points.
Who holds it
136 wallets hold a position worth $9.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 136 of them. The largest Yes holder is WarriorPooh, with $326 on it, $171K lifetime profit over 271 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is cc311, with $886 on it, $1.2K lifetime loss over 124 markets (72% won).
- Holders
- 84
- Money on it
- $2.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 52
- Money on it
- $6.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.7K on it
- 1WarriorPooh53% won of 271 · whale$326+$171K lifetime
- 2Newshound73% won of 1,051 · whale$311+$73K lifetime
- 3Bonimba67% won of 3$302−$2.4K lifetime
- 4troim66% won of 819 · whale$285+$90K lifetime
- 5willsom72% won of 236 · whale$254+$47K lifetime
No$6.8K on it
- 1cc31172% won of 124$886−$1.2K lifetime
- 274-7541% won of 94$854−$2.5K lifetime
- 3hfv42% won of 44,721$754−$142K lifetime
- 4enrico-vasaio65% won of 1,070 · whale$682+$23K lifetime
- 5HandlePressure33% won of 12$572−$3.4K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?"?
136 wallets hold a position worth $9.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 136 of them. The largest Yes holder is WarriorPooh, with $326 on it, $171K lifetime profit over 271 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is cc311, with $886 on it, $1.2K lifetime loss over 124 markets (72% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 72¢, a 72% implied chance of No. $36K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
66% of the money on Yes and 32% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 39 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.