Who's betting on “China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 69% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $231K traded all time
- Held now
- $25K by 575 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 31% 185 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 69% 389 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $231K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
31% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago, No by 26 points.
Who holds it
575 wallets hold a position worth $25K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 574 of them. The largest Yes holder is RobertQ99, with $613 on it, $22 lifetime loss over 44 markets (84% won). The largest No holder is Daviddu0813, with $7.4K on it, $1.0K lifetime profit over 51 markets (80% won).
- Holders
- 185
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Holders
- 390
- Money on it
- $24K
- Holders' win rate
- 76%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.9K on it
- 1RobertQ9984% won of 44$613−$22 lifetime
- 20x154506893D8Ea9BcdF2A875a7A6CFe810e173599-177168013500616% won of 19$301−$6.5K lifetime
- 3LlamaLoco000045% won of 299 · noise$204+$325K lifetime
- 4tubbz16893% won of 54$172−$133 lifetime
- 50xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-176753254779448% won of 1,033 · whale$83+$35K lifetime
No$24K on it
- 1Daviddu081380% won of 51 · balanced$7.4K+$1.0K lifetime
- 2ANGGGuess88% won of 8$1.9K+$638 lifetime
- 3edisonyang84% won of 201$1.9K−$166K lifetime
- 4PonyY78% won of 649 · balanced$925+$6.4K lifetime
- 50x7489f5572a7abFbafa806daaFf2c3b3066123C11-176926696649356% won of 41$875−$1.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?"?
575 wallets hold a position worth $25K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 574 of them. The largest Yes holder is RobertQ99, with $613 on it, $22 lifetime loss over 44 markets (84% won). The largest No holder is Daviddu0813, with $7.4K on it, $1.0K lifetime profit over 51 markets (80% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $231K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
31% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago, No by 26 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.