Who's betting on “China coup attempt before 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 72% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 55 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $168K traded all time
- Held now
- $27K by 448 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 16% 159 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 72% 288 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $168K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
16% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 55 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 54 points. A week ago, No by 48 points.
Who holds it
448 wallets hold a position worth $27K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 447 of them. The largest Yes holder is PP4503, with $173 on it, $5.9K lifetime loss over 32 markets (94% won). The largest No holder is xcnstrategy, with $5.9K on it, $88K lifetime profit over 213 markets (82% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $5.9K on No.
- Holders
- 159
- Money on it
- $841
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
- Holders
- 289
- Money on it
- $26K
- Holders' win rate
- 81%
- Snipers
- 1 · $5.9K
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$841 on it
- 1PP450394% won of 32$173−$5.9K lifetime
- 2Qannsonno record yet$79−$453 lifetime
- 3Senorpo0% won of 2$57−$11 lifetime
- 40xd34cDd9EBFa7e4685C221f0A9d5D903a98b210B4-177971237229392% won of 200$48−$14K lifetime
- 5gambaFanta100% won of 2$40−$25 lifetime
No$26K on it
- 1xcnstrategy82% won of 213 · sniper$5.9K+$88K lifetime
- 2HAOI81% won of 26 · balanced$2.1K+$2.7K lifetime
- 3Daviddu081380% won of 51 · balanced$1.7K+$1.0K lifetime
- 4redwallstreet0% won of 2$1.2K−$438 lifetime
- 5pallete100% won of 6$1.1K−$652 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "China coup attempt before 2027?"?
448 wallets hold a position worth $27K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 447 of them. The largest Yes holder is PP4503, with $173 on it, $5.9K lifetime loss over 32 markets (94% won). The largest No holder is xcnstrategy, with $5.9K on it, $88K lifetime profit over 213 markets (82% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "China coup attempt before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $168K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
16% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 55 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 54 points. A week ago, No by 48 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.