
Who's betting on “Spread: James Madison (-24.5)”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $28K traded all time
- Held now
- $23K by 25 wallets
- Smart share · James Madison
- - 12 scored holders
- Smart share · Troy
- 22% 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices James Madison at 1¢ and Troy at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of Troy. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
25 wallets hold a position worth $23K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 25 of them. The largest James Madison holder is ethanaz, with $149 on it, $707K lifetime profit over 418 markets (84% won). The largest Troy holder is Multicoloured-Serf, with $18K on it, $6.8K lifetime loss over 15 markets (60% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $4.3K on Troy.
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $240
- Holders' win rate
- 86%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $23K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 1 · $4.3K
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsJames Madison$240 on it
- 1ethanaz84% won of 418 · whale$149+$707K lifetime
- 2torta.tech92% won of 1,975 · whale$86+$210K lifetime
- 3Pan9X60% won of 31,786 · whale$2+$19K lifetime
- 4tycheStream76% won of 502 · balanced$1+$394 lifetime
- 5SilentStorm89091% won of 522$1−$964 lifetime
Troy$23K on it
- 1Multicoloured-Serf60% won of 15$18K−$6.8K lifetime
- 2primm78% won of 1,856 · sniper$4.3K+$3.4M lifetime
- 3justaluckydude62% won of 13,435 · whale$274+$1.4M lifetime
- 4iWasEnough52% won of 26,700 · whale$270+$51K lifetime
- 5xSundancer52% won of 4,392$43−$933 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Troy vs. James Madison
15 more- Troy vs. James Madison$84K vol.Troy 18%James Madison 82%Smart money: Troy
- Spread -16.5$50K vol.James Madison 0%Troy 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -19.5$46K vol.James Madison 2%Troy 98%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -17.5$37K vol.James Madison 0%Troy 100%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 51.5$36K vol.Over 22%Under 78%Smart money: Over
- Spread -18.5$19K vol.James Madison 2%Troy 98%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -23.5$17K vol.James Madison 1%Troy 99%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 59.5$11K vol.Over 9%Under 91%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 49.5$11K vol.Over 42%Under 58%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -21.5$9.3K vol.James Madison 1%Troy 99%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 53.5$8.4K vol.Over 17%Under 83%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -3.5$5.6K vol.James Madison 36%Troy 64%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -6.5$5.5K vol.James Madison 30%Troy 70%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -20.5$4.4K vol.James Madison 1%Troy 99%Too little scored money to compare
- 1H Spread -10.5$10K vol. · ClosedResolved James MadisonToo little scored money to compare
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Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: James Madison (-24.5)"?
25 wallets hold a position worth $23K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 25 of them. The largest James Madison holder is ethanaz, with $149 on it, $707K lifetime profit over 418 markets (84% won). The largest Troy holder is Multicoloured-Serf, with $18K on it, $6.8K lifetime loss over 15 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: James Madison (-24.5)"?
Polymarket prices James Madison at 1¢ and Troy at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of Troy. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.