Who's betting on “Troy vs. James Madison”?
Smart money leans Troy: 75% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 38 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $84K traded all time
- Held now
- $44K by 169 wallets
- Smart share · Troy
- 75% 84 scored holders
- Smart share · James Madison
- 36% 84 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Troy at 18¢ and James Madison at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of James Madison. $84K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
The smart money
75% of the money on Troy and 36% of the money on James Madison is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Troy, by 38 points. A day ago it leaned Troy, by 21 points.
Who holds it
169 wallets hold a position worth $44K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 168 of them. The largest Troy holder is cm2897, with $2.1K on it, $870 lifetime profit over 6,297 markets (47% won). The largest James Madison holder is Multicoloured-Serf, with $10K on it, $6.8K lifetime loss over 9 markets (56% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1 on Troy.
- Holders
- 85
- Money on it
- $13K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Snipers
- 1 · $1
- Holders
- 84
- Money on it
- $31K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsTroy$13K on it
- 1cm289747% won of 6,297 · whale$2.1K+$870 lifetime
- 2justaluckydude62% won of 13,375 · whale$2.0K+$1.4M lifetime
- 3omoi0i081% won of 590 · whale$968+$3.6K lifetime
- 4Notradecopy88% won of 1,075 · whale$886+$25K lifetime
- 5nigiri9947% won of 16,851$786−$1.3M lifetime
James Madison$31K on it
- 1Multicoloured-Serf56% won of 9$10K−$6.8K lifetime
- 2cloture54% won of 91$2.4K−$9.4K lifetime
- 3651239531459788448% won of 11,646$2.2K−$38K lifetime
- 4the1percent1100% won of 723 · grinder$1.8K+$1.4K lifetime
- 5omnibus-076daa73% won of 16,981 · whale$1.7K+$3.4M lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Troy vs. James Madison
15 more- Spread -16.5$50K vol.James Madison 0%Troy 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -19.5$46K vol.James Madison 2%Troy 98%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -17.5$37K vol.James Madison 0%Troy 100%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 51.5$36K vol.Over 22%Under 78%Smart money: Over
- Spread -24.5$28K vol.James Madison 1%Troy 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -18.5$19K vol.James Madison 2%Troy 98%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -23.5$17K vol.James Madison 1%Troy 99%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 59.5$11K vol.Over 9%Under 91%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 49.5$11K vol.Over 42%Under 58%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -21.5$9.3K vol.James Madison 1%Troy 99%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 53.5$8.4K vol.Over 17%Under 83%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -3.5$5.6K vol.James Madison 36%Troy 64%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -6.5$5.5K vol.James Madison 30%Troy 70%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -20.5$4.4K vol.James Madison 1%Troy 99%Too little scored money to compare
- 1H Spread -10.5$10K vol. · ClosedResolved James MadisonToo little scored money to compare
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Questions
Who is betting on "Troy vs. James Madison"?
169 wallets hold a position worth $44K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 168 of them. The largest Troy holder is cm2897, with $2.1K on it, $870 lifetime profit over 6,297 markets (47% won). The largest James Madison holder is Multicoloured-Serf, with $10K on it, $6.8K lifetime loss over 9 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Troy vs. James Madison"?
Polymarket prices Troy at 18¢ and James Madison at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of James Madison. $84K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
75% of the money on Troy and 36% of the money on James Madison is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Troy, by 38 points. A day ago it leaned Troy, by 21 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.