Who's betting on “Spread: James Madison (-16.5)”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $50K traded all time
- Held now
- $43K by 44 wallets
- Smart share · James Madison
- - 25 scored holders
- Smart share · Troy
- 5% 19 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices James Madison at 0¢ and Troy at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of Troy. $50K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
44 wallets hold a position worth $43K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest James Madison holder is 0x9f15…bdb3, with $490 on it, $401K lifetime profit over 2,301 markets (86% won). The largest Troy holder is mooseborzoi, with $40K on it, $11M lifetime loss over 8,982 markets (42% won).
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $707
- Holders' win rate
- 82%
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $42K
- Holders' win rate
- 43%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsJames Madison$707 on it
- 10x9f15…bdb386% won of 2,301 · whale$490+$401K lifetime
- 2Bagwell30693% won of 628 · whale$83+$237K lifetime
- 3VeryLucky88860% won of 62,758 · whale$43+$422K lifetime
- 4imjustkenisghey54% won of 1,162 · whale$36+$111K lifetime
- 5RN160% won of 37,183 · whale$23+$13M lifetime
Troy$42K on it
- 1mooseborzoi42% won of 8,982$40K−$11M lifetime
- 2HomeRunHazard56% won of 21,845 · whale$1.0K+$2.9M lifetime
- 33879187398418945% won of 89,834 · whale$521+$215K lifetime
- 4justaluckydude62% won of 13,435 · whale$278+$1.4M lifetime
- 50x8394058388D8E23944E75cfCc83Bb217032a57dd-176682688533474% won of 657 · balanced$111+$38 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Troy vs. James Madison
15 more- Troy vs. James Madison$84K vol.Troy 18%James Madison 82%Smart money: Troy
- Spread -19.5$46K vol.James Madison 2%Troy 98%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -17.5$37K vol.James Madison 0%Troy 100%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 51.5$36K vol.Over 22%Under 78%Smart money: Over
- Spread -24.5$28K vol.James Madison 1%Troy 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -18.5$19K vol.James Madison 2%Troy 98%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -23.5$17K vol.James Madison 1%Troy 99%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 59.5$11K vol.Over 9%Under 91%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 49.5$11K vol.Over 42%Under 58%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -21.5$9.3K vol.James Madison 1%Troy 99%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 53.5$8.4K vol.Over 17%Under 83%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -3.5$5.6K vol.James Madison 36%Troy 64%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -6.5$5.5K vol.James Madison 30%Troy 70%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -20.5$4.4K vol.James Madison 1%Troy 99%Too little scored money to compare
- 1H Spread -10.5$10K vol. · ClosedResolved James MadisonToo little scored money to compare
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Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: James Madison (-16.5)"?
44 wallets hold a position worth $43K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest James Madison holder is 0x9f15…bdb3, with $490 on it, $401K lifetime profit over 2,301 markets (86% won). The largest Troy holder is mooseborzoi, with $40K on it, $11M lifetime loss over 8,982 markets (42% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: James Madison (-16.5)"?
Polymarket prices James Madison at 0¢ and Troy at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of Troy. $50K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.