Who's betting on “Spread: UCLA (-14.5)”?
Sports · $30K volume · Ends October 24, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices UCLA at 91¢ and Michigan State at 10¢, a 91% implied chance of UCLA. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 24, 2026.
37% of the money on UCLA and 94% of the money on Michigan State is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Michigan State, by 56 points.
87 wallets hold a position worth $18K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest UCLA holder is nigiri99, with $6.9K on it, $1.5M lifetime loss over 13,746 markets (46% won). The largest Michigan State holder is HomeRunHazard, with $498 on it, $2.9M lifetime profit over 18,104 markets (56% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $3.6K on UCLA.
- Smart money share
- 37%
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $16K
- Holders' winrate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 1 · $3.6K
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 94%
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $1.7K
- Holders' winrate
- 67%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| nigiri99 | $6.9K | -$1.5M | 46% of 13,746 |
| lightotunnel35sniper | $3.6K | +$24K | 92% of 38 |
| humpav | $2.0K | -$10K | 73% of 52 |
| elementz2 | $946 | -$3.7K | 46% of 265 |
| ic4creamwhale | $862 | +$552K | 90% of 1,513 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| HomeRunHazardwhale | $498 | +$2.9M | 56% of 18,104 |
| UpTheBlueswhale | $342 | +$1.1M | 70% of 75,071 |
| VorpalQuarkwhale | $202 | +$27K | 82% of 205 |
| 38791873984189whale | $109 | +$196K | 45% of 73,715 |
| SnakeBallwhale | $80 | +$617K | 70% of 37,284 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Michigan State vs. UCLA
- Michigan State vs. UCLA$736K vol.Michigan State 0%UCLA 100%Smart money: Michigan State
- Spread -18.5$25K vol.UCLA 62%Michigan State 38%Smart money: Michigan State
- O/U 43.5$23K vol.Over 60%Under 41%Smart money: Under
- O/U 45.5$8.3K vol.Over 51%Under 49%Smart money: Over
- Spread -13.5$6.5K vol.UCLA 93%Michigan State 8%Smart money: UCLA
- O/U 47.5$4.8K vol.Over 51%Under 50%Smart money: Over
- Spread -16.5$3.3K vol.UCLA 83%Michigan State 17%Smart money: Michigan State
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$35M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.3M vol.Yes 71%No 29%Smart money: No
- Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$7.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$6.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$6.3M vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.9M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.8M vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: UCLA (-14.5)"?
87 wallets hold a position worth $18K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest UCLA holder is nigiri99, with $6.9K on it, $1.5M lifetime loss over 13,746 markets (46% won). The largest Michigan State holder is HomeRunHazard, with $498 on it, $2.9M lifetime profit over 18,104 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: UCLA (-14.5)"?
Polymarket prices UCLA at 91¢ and Michigan State at 10¢, a 91% implied chance of UCLA. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 24, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
37% of the money on UCLA and 94% of the money on Michigan State is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Michigan State, by 56 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 24, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.