Who's betting on “Spread: Texas (-2.5)”?
Sports · $55K volume · Ends October 24, 2026 · Updated October 25, 2026
Polymarket prices Texas at 92¢ and Ole Miss at 8¢, a 92% implied chance of Texas. $55K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 24, 2026.
98% of the money on Texas and 78% of the money on Ole Miss is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Texas, by 20 points. A day ago it was split.
79 wallets hold a position worth $55K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Texas holder is ArielFilipino, with $26K on it, $396K lifetime profit over 92 markets (89% won). The largest Ole Miss holder is HomeRunHazard, with $3.9K on it, $2.9M lifetime profit over 18,369 markets (56% won).
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $29K on Texas.
- Smart money share
- 98% ▼ 1 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $45K
- Holders' winrate
- 80%
- Snipers
- 2 · $29K
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 78% ▼ 20 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $9.8K
- Holders' winrate
- 59%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| ArielFilipinosniper | $26K | +$396K | 89% of 92 |
| 0x4488…e319whale | $9.1K | +$651K | 54% of 1,179 |
| 0x418D51e13d019913BB027DB22ECc723fe1AD88A3-1720918577961whale | $3.8K | +$54K | 83% of 312 |
| JokerTheClownsniper | $3.0K | +$59K | 68% of 1,661 |
| Jumperhqgrinder | $492 | +$2.2K | 98% of 378 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| HomeRunHazardwhale | $3.9K | +$2.9M | 56% of 18,369 |
| nigiri99 | $1.8K | -$1.5M | 46% of 14,026 |
| imjustkenisgheywhale | $1.2K | +$90K | 56% of 1,016 |
| 0x0A77exmmwhale | $800 | +$19K | 81% of 604 |
| hi774cwhale | $561 | +$178K | 86% of 1,000 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Ole Miss vs. Texas
- Ole Miss vs. Texas$1.2M vol.Ole Miss 8%Texas 93%Smart money: Ole Miss
- Spread -3.5$161K vol.Texas 91%Ole Miss 9%Smart money: Ole Miss
- O/U 53.5$18K vol.Over 75%Under 25%Smart money: Under
- O/U 51.5$15K vol.Over 80%Under 20%Smart money: Under
- O/U 55.5$13K vol.Over 70%Under 30%Smart money: Over
- Spread -7.5$8.4K vol.Texas 82%Ole Miss 18%Smart money: Texas
- Spread -4.5$3.6K vol.Texas 88%Ole Miss 12%Smart money split
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Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Texas (-2.5)"?
79 wallets hold a position worth $55K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Texas holder is ArielFilipino, with $26K on it, $396K lifetime profit over 92 markets (89% won). The largest Ole Miss holder is HomeRunHazard, with $3.9K on it, $2.9M lifetime profit over 18,369 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Texas (-2.5)"?
Polymarket prices Texas at 92¢ and Ole Miss at 8¢, a 92% implied chance of Texas. $55K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 24, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
98% of the money on Texas and 78% of the money on Ole Miss is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Texas, by 20 points. A day ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 24, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.