Who's betting on “Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 66% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 12 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $41K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.0K by 111 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 54% 54 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 66% 57 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 72¢ and No at 28¢, a 72% implied chance of Yes. $41K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
54% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 19 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.
Who holds it
111 wallets hold a position worth $6.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 111 of them. The largest Yes holder is Ortofecal, with $1.4K on it, $634 lifetime profit over 97 markets (54% won). The largest No holder is vinii, with $492 on it, $170K lifetime profit over 1,915 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 54
- Money on it
- $4.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $1.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.3K on it
- 1Ortofecal54% won of 97 · balanced$1.4K+$634 lifetime
- 2a.weidel66% won of 83$771−$10K lifetime
- 3pkz63% won of 1,047 · whale$492+$67K lifetime
- 40x14a1…99122% won of 2,906$284−$15K lifetime
- 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,840 · noise$189+$27K lifetime
No$1.7K on it
- 1vinii64% won of 1,915 · whale$492+$170K lifetime
- 2buoys46% won of 1,244 · whale$263+$83K lifetime
- 30x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-178340600939647% won of 78,495$159−$4.0M lifetime
- 4tradetosurvive145% won of 25,331$126−$217K lifetime
- 5HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$126+$325K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?"?
111 wallets hold a position worth $6.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 111 of them. The largest Yes holder is Ortofecal, with $1.4K on it, $634 lifetime profit over 97 markets (54% won). The largest No holder is vinii, with $492 on it, $170K lifetime profit over 1,915 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 72¢ and No at 28¢, a 72% implied chance of Yes. $41K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
54% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 19 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.