Who's betting on “California voter ID referendum passes?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 68% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 16 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.4K by 63 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 68% 35 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 52% 28 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 80¢, an 80% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
68% of the money on Yes and 52% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.
Who holds it
63 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 63 of them. The largest Yes holder is lineth, with $90 on it, $91K lifetime profit over 662 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is lizzyb, with $602 on it, $4.8K lifetime profit over 202 markets (71% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $7 on Yes.
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $491
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 1 · $7
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$491 on it
- 1lineth67% won of 662 · whale$90+$91K lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$62−$378K lifetime
- 3DoLess62% won of 145 · balanced$56+$3.4K lifetime
- 40x7c14bDd7D62B9a7824C220EE39a9b58773F05783-177358738019573% won of 1,082$44−$30K lifetime
- 5peepeepooppoop64% won of 1,566 · whale$41+$33K lifetime
No$1.9K on it
- 1lizzyb71% won of 202 · balanced$602+$4.8K lifetime
- 2Possums85% won of 221$493−$53K lifetime
- 3waaffles55% won of 47$299−$90K lifetime
- 4Nobody2304177% won of 216 · whale$222+$11K lifetime
- 50x906D4A99362435A31E1672cc73D82a313407CfDB-172426381357272% won of 25 · balanced$72+$57 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "California voter ID referendum passes?"?
63 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 63 of them. The largest Yes holder is lineth, with $90 on it, $91K lifetime profit over 662 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is lizzyb, with $602 on it, $4.8K lifetime profit over 202 markets (71% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "California voter ID referendum passes?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 80¢, an 80% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
68% of the money on Yes and 52% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.