Who's betting on “Blue wave in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 70% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $125K traded all time
- Held now
- $51K by 225 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 70% 109 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 33% 116 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 87¢ and No at 14¢, an 87% implied chance of Yes. $125K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 5, 2027.
The smart money
70% of the money on Yes and 33% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.
Who holds it
225 wallets hold a position worth $51K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 225 of them. The largest Yes holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $16K on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,117 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is pyoi, with $1.5K on it, $1.9K lifetime loss over 86 markets (70% won).
- Holders
- 109
- Money on it
- $45K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Holders
- 116
- Money on it
- $6.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$45K on it
- 1The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA69% won of 1,117 · whale$16K+$1.8M lifetime
- 2OATH198960% won of 96$7.5K−$1.3K lifetime
- 3ocpna62% won of 269 · balanced$3.4K+$24K lifetime
- 4BetterFish61% won of 724 · whale$2.3K+$34K lifetime
- 5Voland677787% won of 15$2.1K−$10K lifetime
No$6.9K on it
- 1pyoi70% won of 86$1.5K−$1.9K lifetime
- 2TheWindKnowsmyName68% won of 482$1.3K−$53K lifetime
- 3maritime630740% won of 377 · noise$743+$2.6K lifetime
- 4426figuresno record yet$500+$0 lifetime
- 50xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-176594332681137% won of 6,397 · noise$386+$21K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Blue wave in 2026?"?
225 wallets hold a position worth $51K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 225 of them. The largest Yes holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $16K on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,117 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is pyoi, with $1.5K on it, $1.9K lifetime loss over 86 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Blue wave in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 87¢ and No at 14¢, an 87% implied chance of Yes. $125K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 5, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
70% of the money on Yes and 33% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 5, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.