Who's betting on “Blue tsunami in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 72% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 22 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $88K traded all time
- Held now
- $47K by 214 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 72% 119 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 51% 94 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 60¢ and No at 41¢, a 60% implied chance of Yes. $88K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 5, 2027.
The smart money
72% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 6 points. A week ago, Yes by 9 points.
Who holds it
214 wallets hold a position worth $47K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 213 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc8b9…b836, with $5.1K on it, $371K lifetime profit over 552 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is grinder1011, with $4.1K on it, $11K lifetime profit over 519 markets (47% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $355 on Yes.
- Holders
- 120
- Money on it
- $28K
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Snipers
- 1 · $355
- Holders
- 94
- Money on it
- $19K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$28K on it
- 10xc8b9…b83664% won of 552 · whale$5.1K+$371K lifetime
- 2lava-lava47% won of 1,655 · whale$3.1K+$1.2M lifetime
- 3eunice-56156% won of 126$2.7K−$109K lifetime
- 4Loyalty-Crash53% won of 173 · whale$2.6K+$85K lifetime
- 5zerosmart48% won of 153 · outlier$1.8K+$876K lifetime
No$19K on it
- 1grinder101147% won of 519 · whale$4.1K+$11K lifetime
- 2macrosteaks64% won of 2,606$4.0K−$8.2K lifetime
- 3TheWindKnowsmyName68% won of 482$2.2K−$53K lifetime
- 4whispercatalyst49% won of 2,904$1.7K−$5.3K lifetime
- 50x4e25…d7a759% won of 1,000 · whale$1.2K+$252K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Blue tsunami in 2026?"?
214 wallets hold a position worth $47K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 213 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc8b9…b836, with $5.1K on it, $371K lifetime profit over 552 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is grinder1011, with $4.1K on it, $11K lifetime profit over 519 markets (47% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Blue tsunami in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 60¢ and No at 41¢, a 60% implied chance of Yes. $88K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 5, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 6 points. A week ago, Yes by 9 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 5, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.