Who's betting on “Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $11K by 44 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 57% 20 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 94% 24 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 24¢ and No at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 5, 2027.
The smart money
57% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 40 points.
Who holds it
44 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $714 on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,117 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is h038596027355, with $4.2K on it, $16K lifetime profit over 269 markets (84% won).
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $2.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $8.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.5K on it
- 1The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA69% won of 1,117 · whale$714+$1.8M lifetime
- 2villa200% won of 1$411+$0 lifetime
- 3AxelTapper100% won of 1$294+$6 lifetime
- 4Golftango58% won of 387$241−$3.3K lifetime
- 50x8351…9beb50% won of 534$207−$15K lifetime
No$8.2K on it
- 1h03859602735584% won of 269 · whale$4.2K+$16K lifetime
- 2fElon87% won of 643 · whale$1.1K+$9.8K lifetime
- 3XiaoTian67% won of 97 · whale$765+$8.8K lifetime
- 40x91c3…409f44% won of 426$744+$9.0K lifetime
- 5StarMaster54% won of 938 · whale$383+$98K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?"?
44 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $714 on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,117 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is h038596027355, with $4.2K on it, $16K lifetime profit over 269 markets (84% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 24¢ and No at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 5, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
57% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 40 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 5, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.