Who's betting on “Game Spread: Carlos Alcaraz (-3.5) vs Jiri Lehecka (+3.5)”?
Sports · $27K volume · Ends October 13, 2026 · Updated October 6, 2026
Polymarket prices Carlos Alcaraz at 41¢ and Jiri Lehecka at 60¢, a 60% implied chance of Jiri Lehecka. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 13, 2026.
68% of the money on Carlos Alcaraz and 47% of the money on Jiri Lehecka is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Carlos Alcaraz, by 21 points. A week ago, Carlos Alcaraz by 21 points.
71 wallets hold a position worth $26K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 71 of them. The largest Carlos Alcaraz holder is Fund01, with $4.0K on it, $52K lifetime profit over 153 markets (47% won). The largest Jiri Lehecka holder is scootergene, with $3.5K on it, $62K lifetime profit over 390 markets (84% won).
- Smart money share
- 68%
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' winrate
- 62%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 47%
- Holders
- 55
- Money on it
- $14K
- Holders' winrate
- 86%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fund01noise | $4.0K | +$52K | 47% of 153 |
| Babooouwhale | $2.2K | +$5.2K | 79% of 245 |
| fastball67 | $2.0K | -$207K | 50% of 313 |
| VeryLucky888whale | $602 | +$447K | 60% of 50,644 |
| Khalipa | $444 | -$61K | 62% of 202 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| scootergenewhale | $3.5K | +$62K | 84% of 390 |
| ic4creamwhale | $2.8K | +$552K | 90% of 1,510 |
| hi774cwhale | $2.7K | +$183K | 86% of 974 |
| Justluck9 | $1.7K | -$35K | 90% of 155 |
| tomb2456 | $1.2K | -$8.0K | 94% of 361 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Game Spread: Carlos Alcaraz (-3.5) vs Jiri Lehecka (+3.5)"?
71 wallets hold a position worth $26K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 71 of them. The largest Carlos Alcaraz holder is Fund01, with $4.0K on it, $52K lifetime profit over 153 markets (47% won). The largest Jiri Lehecka holder is scootergene, with $3.5K on it, $62K lifetime profit over 390 markets (84% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Game Spread: Carlos Alcaraz (-3.5) vs Jiri Lehecka (+3.5)"?
Polymarket prices Carlos Alcaraz at 41¢ and Jiri Lehecka at 60¢, a 60% implied chance of Jiri Lehecka. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 13, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
68% of the money on Carlos Alcaraz and 47% of the money on Jiri Lehecka is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Carlos Alcaraz, by 21 points. A week ago, Carlos Alcaraz by 21 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 13, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.