Who's betting on “Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $177K traded all time
- Held now
- $24K by 223 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 25% 104 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 27% 118 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $177K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
25% of the money on Yes and 27% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 8 points.
Who holds it
223 wallets hold a position worth $24K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 222 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xF7790AafC0EeF13E5dEAd78f565C8688E681d36f-1761398343106, with $49 on it, $1.5K lifetime loss over 200 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is Alegrandebig, with $12K on it, $12K lifetime loss over 1,242 markets (92% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $53 on No.
- Holders
- 104
- Money on it
- $439
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
- Holders
- 119
- Money on it
- $23K
- Holders' win rate
- 85%
- Snipers
- 1 · $53
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$439 on it
- 10xF7790AafC0EeF13E5dEAd78f565C8688E681d36f-176139834310650% won of 200$49−$1.5K lifetime
- 2maxtrant51% won of 116$38−$437 lifetime
- 30xfF82B8679661E2Fe3Bd498aB1e75112b78AAb7E6-1767820631735no record yet$37+$0 lifetime
- 4LadyVanga0% won of 2$31−$603 lifetime
- 50x32AB29a83321c641D05e2A0BC17B531A70e9f4cd-1770346893118100% won of 3$31+$53 lifetime
No$23K on it
- 1Alegrandebig92% won of 1,242$12K−$12K lifetime
- 2BafanaBafana86% won of 28$2.3K−$25K lifetime
- 3lava-lava47% won of 1,655 · whale$985+$1.2M lifetime
- 40xB16B00B582% won of 342 · whale$982+$51K lifetime
- 5Grounded-Farmer81% won of 27$982−$491 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?"?
223 wallets hold a position worth $24K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 222 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xF7790AafC0EeF13E5dEAd78f565C8688E681d36f-1761398343106, with $49 on it, $1.5K lifetime loss over 200 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is Alegrandebig, with $12K on it, $12K lifetime loss over 1,242 markets (92% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $177K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
25% of the money on Yes and 27% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 8 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.