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Who's betting on “Another US debt downgrade before 2027?”?

Politics$14K traded63 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 26, 2026
9%Yes
91%No

The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.

Volume
$14K
traded all time
Held now
$2.2K
by 63 wallets
Smart share · Yes
67%
32 scored holders
Smart share · No
70%
31 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

67% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split.

Who holds it

63 wallets hold a position worth $2.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 63 of them.

Yes9%
Smart money share67%
a day ago 67%now 67%
Holders
32
Money on it
$202
Holders' win rate
56%
No91%
Smart money share70%
a day ago 70%now 70%
Holders
31
Money on it
$2.0K
Holders' win rate
63%
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Questions

Who is betting on "Another US debt downgrade before 2027?"?

63 wallets hold a position worth $2.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 63 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Another US debt downgrade before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

67% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.