Who's betting on “Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 80 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $46K traded all time
- Held now
- $8.7K by 124 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 13% 69 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 94% 54 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 66¢ and No at 34¢, a 66% implied chance of Yes. $46K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
13% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 80 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 79 points. A week ago, No by 79 points.
Who holds it
124 wallets hold a position worth $8.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 123 of them. The largest Yes holder is AlofokeMusic, with $1.3K on it, $921 lifetime loss over 2 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is FrozenParasite, with $1.6K on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1.6K on No.
- Holders
- 70
- Money on it
- $5.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
- Holders
- 54
- Money on it
- $3.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 1 · $1.6K
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.8K on it
- 1AlofokeMusic50% won of 2$1.3K−$921 lifetime
- 2Alfryfelix33% won of 24$1.3K−$59 lifetime
- 3MarcianoTech46% won of 28$831−$2.9K lifetime
- 4HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$280+$325K lifetime
- 50x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-179243706475847% won of 827$227−$8.4K lifetime
No$3.0K on it
- 1FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$1.6K+$244K lifetime
- 2WageringGrandma46% won of 112 · noise$292+$199 lifetime
- 3willsom72% won of 237 · whale$245+$47K lifetime
- 4SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,242 · whale$210+$203K lifetime
- 5PMTraderAdam85% won of 1,111 · whale$92+$33K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?"?
124 wallets hold a position worth $8.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 123 of them. The largest Yes holder is AlofokeMusic, with $1.3K on it, $921 lifetime loss over 2 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is FrozenParasite, with $1.6K on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 66¢ and No at 34¢, a 66% implied chance of Yes. $46K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
13% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 80 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 79 points. A week ago, No by 79 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.