Who's betting on “Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?”?
Smart money leans No: 32% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 20 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $258K traded all time
- Held now
- $65K by 289 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 12% 151 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 32% 137 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $258K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
12% of the money on Yes and 32% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points. A week ago, No by 30 points.
Who holds it
289 wallets hold a position worth $65K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 288 of them. The largest Yes holder is valetecaolho, with $1.5K on it, $23K lifetime loss over 130 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is -wraith-, with $17K on it, $12K lifetime loss over 18 markets (78% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $696 on No.
- Holders
- 152
- Money on it
- $2.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 38%
- Holders
- 137
- Money on it
- $62K
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
- Snipers
- 1 · $696
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.5K on it
- 1valetecaolho30% won of 130$1.5K−$23K lifetime
- 20x2457a25c0D4fe77834bd4488d73cE0baD93827B9-177505454480054% won of 13$219−$1.6K lifetime
- 3rubenito54% won of 24 · noise$106+$3.2K lifetime
- 4AlbertoFGomez50% won of 2$94−$6.3K lifetime
- 5WillyMiagno record yet$46−$6.1K lifetime
No$62K on it
- 1-wraith-78% won of 18$17K−$12K lifetime
- 2only-no78% won of 67$9.4K−$2.0K lifetime
- 3itxsaw283% won of 98$6.4K−$4.6K lifetime
- 4BeginnersLuck298% won of 1,536 · whale$3.9K+$32K lifetime
- 5apostadormil63% won of 161$3.5K−$2.9K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?"?
289 wallets hold a position worth $65K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 288 of them. The largest Yes holder is valetecaolho, with $1.5K on it, $23K lifetime loss over 130 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is -wraith-, with $17K on it, $12K lifetime loss over 18 markets (78% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $258K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
12% of the money on Yes and 32% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points. A week ago, No by 30 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.