Who's betting on “Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 82% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 56 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $73K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.4K by 102 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 26% 44 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 82% 58 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $73K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
26% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 55 points. A week ago, No by 55 points.
Who holds it
102 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 102 of them. The largest Yes holder is CryptoAddict, with $24 on it, $15K lifetime loss over 187 markets (34% won). The largest No holder is memik, with $805 on it, $491 lifetime profit over 10 markets (40% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $6 on No.
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $88
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
- Holders
- 58
- Money on it
- $2.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 1 · $6
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$88 on it
- 1CryptoAddict34% won of 187$24−$15K lifetime
- 2kuf3no record yet$12−$200 lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,970 · noise$9+$28K lifetime
- 40x257A92EB17A1FD9b38B45f5B4496E207c3727394-1777910417453no record yet$6−$347 lifetime
- 50xf555BBccF9549fA2Fb513140744dFBE0f057b2D5-172019930279736% won of 200 · noise$5+$259 lifetime
No$2.3K on it
- 1memik40% won of 10$805+$491 lifetime
- 2KrdRL84% won of 110 · balanced$317+$1.2K lifetime
- 3AztecaBull91% won of 58 · balanced$208+$2.0K lifetime
- 4archaic86% won of 1,473 · whale$197+$197K lifetime
- 50x351d4dD5B7A1037Bc84b5CA1433076778BC20EBE-175735027439865% won of 196$113−$139 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?"?
102 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 102 of them. The largest Yes holder is CryptoAddict, with $24 on it, $15K lifetime loss over 187 markets (34% won). The largest No holder is memik, with $805 on it, $491 lifetime profit over 10 markets (40% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $73K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
26% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 55 points. A week ago, No by 55 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.