Who's betting on “Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?”?
Pop culture · $94K volume · Ends January 3, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $94K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 3, 2027.
90% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 13 points. A week ago, Yes by 42 points.
85 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 85 of them. The largest Yes holder is Wojtek, with $69 on it, $54K lifetime profit over 225 markets (15% won). The largest No holder is JamesBonder007, with $487 on it, $32K lifetime profit over 125 markets (96% won).
- Smart money share
- 90%
- Holders
- 59
- Money on it
- $113
- Holders' winrate
- 31%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 77%
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $974
- Holders' winrate
- 90%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wojteknoise | $69 | +$54K | 15% of 225 |
| rocky42010whale | $9 | +$14K | 57% of 635 |
| ACarawhale | $7 | +$45K | 65% of 360 |
| PolyJaguarwhale | $3 | +$5.8K | 93% of 249 |
| 0xff7c…b233whale | $3 | +$59K | 67% of 467 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| JamesBonder007whale | $487 | +$32K | 96% of 125 |
| tuone | $198 | -$1.2K | 94% of 157 |
| Elias.Thornwellwhale | $124 | +$4.5K | 69% of 2,940 |
| PolychainIntern | $41 | +$210 | 88% of 8 |
| mysterybalanced | $26 | +$859 | 81% of 255 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?"?
85 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 85 of them. The largest Yes holder is Wojtek, with $69 on it, $54K lifetime profit over 225 markets (15% won). The largest No holder is JamesBonder007, with $487 on it, $32K lifetime profit over 125 markets (96% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $94K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 3, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
90% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 13 points. A week ago, Yes by 42 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 3, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.