Who's betting on “Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?”?
Pop culture · $349K volume · Ends January 3, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $349K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 3, 2027.
82% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 14 points.
88 wallets hold a position worth $377 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 88 of them. The largest Yes holder is Brother357, with $12 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 1,052 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $115 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).
- Smart money share
- 82%
- Holders
- 64
- Money on it
- $43
- Holders' winrate
- 68%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 84% ▼ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $334
- Holders' winrate
- 76%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brother357whale | $12 | +$48K | 79% of 1,052 |
| neutralwave23 | $4 | -$2.9M | 72% of 26,957 |
| rocky42010whale | $4 | +$14K | 57% of 635 |
| planktonXDwhale | $3 | +$131K | 76% of 5,427 |
| acalwhale | $3 | +$15K | 79% of 484 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwellwhale | $115 | +$4.5K | 69% of 2,940 |
| raivoe5g | $100 | +$20 | 100% of 20 |
| HerrieDaviswhale | $42 | +$328K | 63% of 2,442 |
| 0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758 | $42 | -$7.0K | 50% of 604 |
| 0x3cFeafdE0D06624ef7bdE3738F1fAA1181480C50-1778220185329 | $13 | +$5 | 77% of 22 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?"?
88 wallets hold a position worth $377 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 88 of them. The largest Yes holder is Brother357, with $12 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 1,052 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $115 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $349K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 3, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
82% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 3, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.