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Who's betting on “Will Tony win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?”?

Pop culture$16K traded34 holdersEnds July 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
0%Yes🧠 smart money
100%No

Smart money leans Yes: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 71 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$16K
traded all time
Held now
$81
by 34 wallets
Smart share · Yes
87%
29 scored holders
Smart share · No
16%
5 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.

The smart money

87% of the money on Yes and 16% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 71 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 71 points.

Who holds it

34 wallets hold a position worth $81 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 34 of them. The largest Yes holder is tescat, with $16 on it, $4.3K lifetime profit over 327 markets (51% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $40 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 49,296 markets (46% won).

Yes0%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share87%
a day ago 87%now 87%
Holders
29
Money on it
$34
Holders' win rate
50%
No100%
Smart money share16%
a day ago 16%now 16%
Holders
5
Money on it
$47
Holders' win rate
45%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$34 on it

  1. 1tescat51% won of 327 · whale$16+$4.3K lifetime
  2. 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$5+$203K lifetime
  3. 3txdsno record yet$3+$0 lifetime
  4. 4balthazar53% won of 52,570 · whale$2+$1.2M lifetime
  5. 5donthackme29% won of 87,062 · noise$1+$829K lifetime

No$47 on it

  1. 1cigarettes46% won of 49,296$40−$52K lifetime
  2. 2nhgfnfgttrj44% won of 9$5+$61 lifetime
  3. 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$2+$127K lifetime
  4. 40x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-17788118175798% won of 32,274 · noise$1+$27K lifetime
  5. 5haveagoodday24% won of 22,485 · noise$0+$22K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Tony win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?"?

34 wallets hold a position worth $81 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 34 of them. The largest Yes holder is tescat, with $16 on it, $4.3K lifetime profit over 327 markets (51% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $40 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 49,296 markets (46% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Tony win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

87% of the money on Yes and 16% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 71 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 71 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.