Who's betting on “Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 82% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 14 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $224 by 44 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 82% 39 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 67% 5 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 14, 2027.
The smart money
82% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 5 points. A week ago, Yes by 8 points.
Who holds it
44 wallets hold a position worth $224 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is AIbubble, with $18 on it, $1.9K lifetime profit over 303 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $61 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 9,618 markets (42% won).
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $102
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 5
- Money on it
- $122
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$102 on it
- 1AIbubble52% won of 303 · balanced$18+$1.9K lifetime
- 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$16+$203K lifetime
- 3Batmano63% won of 251 · whale$13+$2.6K lifetime
- 4MemeLoverOfficial16% won of 735 · noise$9+$36K lifetime
- 5neutralwave2371% won of 30,906$6−$3.0M lifetime
No$122 on it
- 10x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$61+$127K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,296$40−$52K lifetime
- 3Irboz-sama73% won of 234 · whale$20+$8.3K lifetime
- 40x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-17788118175798% won of 32,274 · noise$1+$27K lifetime
- 5haveagoodday24% won of 22,485 · noise$0+$22K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
19 more- The Odyssey$192K vol.Yes 50%No 50%Smart money: Yes
- You Can See Everything$46K vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: No
- Dune: Part Three$40K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Digger$35K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- La Bola Negra$34K vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: Yes
- Wild Horse Nine$32K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
- The Drama$32K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Fjord$19K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- The Debut$19K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- The Invite$18K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Josephine$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Behemoth!$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- The Social Reckoning$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Tony$16K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Artificial$16K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- The Adventures of Cliff Booth$14K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- I Play Rocky$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Obsession$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Elsinore$12K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big pop culture markets
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?$67M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
44 wallets hold a position worth $224 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is AIbubble, with $18 on it, $1.9K lifetime profit over 303 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $61 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 9,618 markets (42% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 14, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
82% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 5 points. A week ago, Yes by 8 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on March 14, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.